A majority of states will meet their budgetary goals for FY2014, according to a report released by the National Conference of State Legislatures (NCSL).

34 states, Puerto Rico and D.C. are expected to meet their FY2014 revenue estimates, according to the report. Nine states are expected to have surpluses, and seven may come up short.

The nine states expected to see budget surpluses, according to the report, include:

  • California
  • Arkansas
  • Georgia
  • Kansas
  • New Mexico
  • New York
  • North Dakota
  • Texas
  • Vermont

The seven states expected to fall short, according to the report, include:

  • Delaware
  • Indiana
  • Kentucky
  • North Carolina
  • Oklahoma
  • Tennessee
  • West Virginia

The Washington Post notes that the NCSL report is based on interviews conducted through March, so recent developments in certain states were not reported. The paper reports that due to recent financial developments, Kansas, New Jersey and Pennsylvania may yet go over budget.

The category on which the most states will overspend projected budgets in 2014 will be corrections and public safety, The Washington Post reports. 10 states will overshoot their marks for 2014, including:

  • Washington
  • Oregon
  • Idaho
  • Nebraska
  • Oklahoma
  • Louisiana
  • Mississippi
  • Kentucky
  • Maryland
  • Connecticut

“Most legislative fiscal directors continue to describe their state fiscal situation as ‘stable,’ a term that has come to symbolize the post - Great Recession era of slow and steady growth,” according to the report. “While state budget conditions have improved from their low point earlier in the decade, officials remain concerned about slow revenue growth and continued spending pressures.”

The report also notes a growing number of officials are concerned with long-term structural imbalances, where ongoing growth will not keep pace with set expenditures. Some states project such structural gaps as early as FY2016. More states see potential problems in FY2017 and beyond.

Read more about structural imbalances, particularly as they pertain to the corrections system here, or download the NCSL report here.

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